The Reddit crowd may have their eyes on silver now. I don't know where this is going, but since I already own some physical silver, this is going to be interesting. But, well, it's not a game I'm going to play.
Retail sites were overwhelmed with demand for silver bars and coins on Sunday, suggesting the Reddit-inspired frenzy that roiled commodities markets last week is spilling over into physical assets.
Sites from Money Metals and SD Bullion to JM Bullion and Apmex, the Walmart of precious metals products in North America, said they were unable to process orders until Asian markets open because of unprecedented demand for silver.
Robert Higgins, chief executive officer at Argent Asset Group LLC in Wilmington, Delaware, said he’s been on the phone trading all day, with people desperate to buy gold or silver.
“It’s a very, very tight physical market right now,” he said. “And I don’t know there’s any answer to it except when things calm down or the market explodes on Sunday at 6 p.m.”
Retail traders, inspired by Reddit posters, stormed into the silver market last week and successfully drove up prices of the physical metal, silver miners and exchange-traded funds. Spot prices, silver futures on the Comex and the largest silver exchange-traded fund, iShares Silver Trust, all climbed more than 5% in the week.
Premiums on American Eagle silver coins have risen to close to $5 from a normal level of $2 over the past three days, according to Everett Millman at Gainesville Coins in Florida. His company’s website has a notice saying orders are taking longer than normal to fulfill.
“That absolutely motivates more people not only to jump on the bandwagon with the Redditors,” Millman said by phone. It also “reinforces the bias that holding physical silver is a safer investment as opposed to speculating on the stock market.”
What’s unusual this time in the physical silver market is that “everybody has been raising their premiums,” according to Millman. In normal times, some retailers will be able to offer lower premiums.
There are also signs that investors are holding onto silver they own, rather than trying to take profits.
“Now we’re seeing nothing, no single offer, which is scary,” Peter Thomas, senior vice president at Zaner Group, said by phone from Chicago. “Whatever we sell, people are holding it. There’s no inflow of metal at all.”
I'm old enough to remember when the Hunt brothers
tried to corner the silver market back in 1980. They not only failed, they lost over a billion dollars in the process because nearly everyone who owned silver coins, silver bullion, silver jewelry, and silver serving sets eagerly cashed in. (I was one of them. I sold about 200 ounces of silver that I had bought at an average price of about $4 an ounce, and bought my wife a new car with that and a reenlistment bonus I had.)
If you want to play along with the Reddit crowd, go ahead - but it's not a game I would play. This looks more like gambling than investing.
Onward and upward,
airforce